Friday, October 06, 2006
REMEDIAL INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT
Widgets and Doodads
Andrew Cassel, the economic columnist on the Philadelphia Inquirer's business page, isn't playing Pollyanna today, he's just really confused or otherwise simple-minded, as indicated in the headline assigned to today's scribblings, the oddly apostrophed essay, "Stocks', Bonds' Puzzling Messages," where we encounter this:
A wise observer of financial markets once observed that every trade involves two views of the future -- and that one of them is wrong.
Think about it. If I buy your General Widget stock, I'm betting that Widget shares will be worth more tomorrow or next month than they are today. You, by implication, are betting the opposite.
We can't both be right.
This is just silly, entirely misguided, and easily refuted.
You see, I might be very happy to sell Cassel my shares of General Widget in order to obtain the cash I want to purchase shares of Consolidated Doodad, not because I think the price of General Widget's stock is going to be worth less in the future than it is now, but because I think my potential gain from investing in Consolidated Doodad will exceed that which I expect to earn from the more modest anticipated appreciation of General Widget.
It's really that simple.
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JAMES MARTIN CAPOZZOLA
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James Martin (Jim) Capozzola launched The Rittenhouse Review in April 2002, TRR: The Lighter Side of Rittenhouse, HorowitzWatch, and Smarter Andrew Sullivan in July 2002, and Bulldogs for Kerry-Edwards in October 2004. He is also a contributing member of President Boxer.
He received the 2002 Koufax Award for Best Post> for "Al Gore and the Alpha Girls" (published November 25, 2002). Capozzola's record in the Koufax Awards includes two additional nominations for 2002 (Best Blog and Best Writing), three nominations for 2003 (Best Blog, Best Series, and Best Writing), and two finalist nominations in 2004 (Best Blog and Best Writing).
Capozzola’s experience beyond the blogosphere includes a lengthy career in financial journalism, securities analysis, and investment research, and in freelance writing, editing, ghost-writing, and writing instruction.
He earned his bachelor's degree in political science from the University at Albany and a master's in foreign affairs from the University of Virginia.
Capozzola lives in Philadelphia with his bulldog, Mildred.
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